Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative has landed, and bank financial management has welcomed "three changes". "Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative involves a large scale of deposits, and some banks have begun to rectify. For the banking industry, the overall advantages outweigh the disadvantages. On the one hand, some configurable high-yield assets are gone; On the other hand, self-regulatory initiatives are beneficial to the bond market, and bond assets are an important direction for bank financial allocation. The most important thing is that in terms of risk-return characteristics, bank wealth management products are similar to interbank deposits, and it is expected that a large amount of funds will flow into the bank wealth management market from the interbank deposit market. " On December 10, a person from a financial company of a city commercial bank in the southern region bluntly told reporters.US Treasury Department: US Treasury Secretary Yellen expressed appreciation for the close communication between the Ministry of Economic Affairs of Korea and the United States after the recent events in South Korea.
GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business, and the Cruise self-driving car division of GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business. According to a statement on Tuesday, Cruise and GM's technical team will be combined to focus on developing autonomous driving and advanced driver safety technology for GM's future sales models. GM said that it will no longer provide funds for the development of self-driving taxis "considering the large amount of time and resources needed to expand its business scale and the increasingly fierce competition in the self-driving taxi market". The company said that giving up the development of self-driving taxis will save it more than $1 billion in annual costs.CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.
South Korea's exports increased by 12.4% and imports increased by 11.6% from December 1 to 10. South Korea's chip exports increased by 43% year-on-year from December 1 to 10.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.Haitong Securities: In 2025, the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price. Haitong Securities reported in its research report on December 10th that the effect of the trade-in policy is remarkable. With the active actions of the central and local governments, the trade-in policy of home appliances is expected to continue in 2025. We judge that the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price in 2025, and the domestic sales revenue of leading enterprises is expected to achieve steady growth. The average sales price of home appliances will increase significantly under the impetus of trade-in, and the profit margin of home appliance enterprises can be expected to increase. Under the downward trend of interest rates, the dividend yield of household appliances leading enterprises is still attractive. It is recommended that white and black electricity leading enterprises which have obviously benefited from the trade-in policy and have global competitiveness.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13